July 13th Argentine Division 1 - Argentinos Juniors VS Boca Juniors Prediction

Argentine Division 1 - Argentinos Juniors VS Boca Juniors
Match Time:14-07-2025 05:45 Monday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Argentine Primera División 2025 Clausura Matchday 1 clash between Argentinos Juniors and Boca Juniors is scheduled for July 13, 2025, at 18:45 local time (17:45 UTC) at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, La Paternal, Buenos Aires. This Group A opener pits Argentinos Juniors, the Apertura Group A leaders, against Boca Juniors, who are coming off a disappointing Club World Cup campaign and aiming to reclaim domestic dominance under Miguel Ángel Russo.
Argentinos Juniors Review
Argentinos Juniors, coached by Nicolás Diez, topped Group A in the 2024-25 Apertura with 33 points (W9-D6-L1), advancing to the quarter-finals but losing to San Lorenzo on penalties (1-1, 7-8) on May 19, 2025. Their 4-3-3 formation features new signings Joaquín Gho (from Sarmiento), Gabriel Florentín (free agent), Lautaro Giaccone (Rosario Central), Hernán López Muñoz (loan from San José Earthquakes), and Claudio Bravo (Portland Timbers). Key players include Tomás Molina (10 goals, 18 matches) and Nicolás Oroz (2 assists). They averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per match, with a strong home record (5W-2D-1L, 2.1 goals scored). Recent form includes a 3-0 Copa Argentina win over Excursionistas on May 28, 2025. No major injuries reported. Recent form: WLDWW
Boca Juniors Review
Boca Juniors, under Miguel Ángel Russo, finished second in Apertura Group A with 33 points (W8-D2-L1) but fell to Independiente in the quarter-finals (0-1) on May 19, 2025. Their Club World Cup campaign ended in the group stage (D2-L1 vs Benfica, Auckland City, Bayern Munich). The 4-2-3-1 formation features new signings Leandro Paredes (Roma), Marco Pellegrino (Milan), and Malcom Braida (San Lorenzo), with Miguel Merentiel (6 goals) and Kevin Zenón leading the attack. Boca averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, with a mixed away record (3W-2D-3L). Milton Giménez (ankle sprain) is doubtful, but Edinson Cavani, Marcos Rojo, and Pellegrino are available. Recent form: LDDWL
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors and Boca Juniors have met 20 times since 2013, with Boca leading 9W-5W-6D. Recent H2H results:
January 26, 2025 (Apertura, La Bombonera): Boca 0-0 Argentinos Juniors.
October 6, 2024 (Primera División): Boca 1-0 Argentinos.
May 19, 2023 (Primera División): Argentinos 0-1 Boca.
July 19, 2022 (Primera División): Argentinos 2-0 Boca. Average goals per match: 1.8, with 30% over 2.5 goals and 35% both teams scoring. Boca’s defensive edge (3 clean sheets in last 5 H2H) contrasts with Argentinos’ home scoring (2+ goals in 3/5 home H2H).
Prediction: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Boca Juniors.
Argentinos Juniors’ home strength (2.1 goals per game) and new signings (Gho, Giaccone) challenge Boca’s robust defense (0.9 goals conceded). Boca’s attacking depth (Merentiel, Zenón) and Russo’s tactical nous counter Argentinos’ high press, but fatigue and Giménez’s absence tilt the balance. Bookmakers give Argentinos a 38% win probability (odds ~2.60), with a draw at 3.20 (30% H2H trend) and under 2.5 goals at 1.65 (70% of H2H games). Both teams to score has value (35% H2H rate, odds 2.00).
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