July 13th Argentine Division 1 - Independiente Rivadavia VS Newells Old Boys Prediction

Argentine Division 1 - Independiente Rivadavia VS Newells Old Boys
Match Time:14-07-2025 03:30 Monday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Argentine Primera División 2025 Clausura Matchday 1 clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Newell's Old Boys is scheduled for July 13, 2025, at 16:30 local time (15:30 UTC) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza. This opening fixture of the 54-game round-robin season pits a newly promoted Independiente Rivadavia, fresh off a strong Apertura, against Newell's Old Boys, who struggled in the 2024-25 season but aim to leverage their historical edge
Independiente Rivadavia Review
Independiente Rivadavia, coached by Martín Cicotello, earned promotion from the 2023 Primera Nacional and finished 12th in the 2024-25 Apertura with 10 points (W3-D1-L2). Their 4-2-3-1 formation features Lautaro Ríos (1 goal vs Gimnasia) and new signings Enzo Centurión, Iván Villalba, and Matías Orihuela, with Luciano Abecasis and Victorio Ramis providing experience. They snapped a three-game losing streak with a 1-0 win over Gimnasia La Plata on July 2, 2025, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Their home form is solid (3W-1D-1L, 75% possession vs Deportivo Riestra), but injuries to unspecified players and a 2-1 loss to Racing Club on July 10, 2025, highlight vulnerabilities. Recent form: WLDWL
Newell's Old Boys Review
Newell's Old Boys, under Mariano Soso, ended the 2024-25 Apertura in 16th with 7 points (W2-D1-L3), struggling after a 3-1 loss to Talleres on July 5, 2025. Their 4-3-3 formation relies on Francisco González (1 goal), Agustín Juárez, and Juan Manuel García, with Thiago Gigena adding flair. Newell's average 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match, with a poor away record (2W-2D-6L in last 10). Ever Banega’s missed penalty in a 1-0 loss to Independiente Rivadavia on January 24, 2025, underscored their lack of clinical finishing (9 shots on target vs Talleres). David Sotelo (knee) remains sidelined, but Rodrigo Fernández is available after suspension. Recent form: LWWLD.
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia and Newell's Old Boys have met three times since 2024, with Independiente leading 2W-1D-0L:
January 24, 2025 (Apertura, Mendoza): Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Newell's (ESPN).
July 23, 2024 (Primera División, Rosario): Newell's 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia.November 26, 2024 (Primera División, Rosario): Newell's 2-1 Independiente. Average goals per match: 1.33, with 33% over 2.5 goals and 33% both teams scoring. Independiente’s recent H2H dominance (unbeaten in 3) contrasts with Newell's historical edge (2 wins in prior meetings)
Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Newell's Old Boys.
Independiente Rivadavia’s home form (1.67 goals scored) and H2H edge (2W-1D) make them slight favorites against Newell's, who struggle away (2/10 wins) and lack finishing (1.5 goals per game). Ríos and Ramis should test Newell's defense, exposed by Talleres (3 goals conceded). Newell's rely on González and Juárez, but Banega’s inconsistency and Sotelo’s absence limit their threat. Bookmakers give Independiente a 42% win probability (odds ~2.25), with under 2.5 goals at 1.70 (66% of H2H games) and a draw at 3.20 (33% H2H trend). Ríos or Villalba to score, Centurión to keep a clean sheet.
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