July 13th Indonesia President Cup - Oxford United VS Port FC Prediction

Indonesia President Cup - Oxford United VS Port FC
Match Time:13-07-2025 20:30 Sunday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The 2025 Indonesia President’s Cup final, featuring Oxford United against Port FC, is set for July 13, 2025, at 19:30 WIB (12:30 UTC) at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung. This historic final, the first in the tournament’s history without an Indonesian team, pits EFL Championship side Oxford United against Thai League’s Port FC, with both teams showcasing dominant group stage performances. The winner will claim a Rp 5.5 billion ($360,000) prize, with the runner-up earning Rp 3 billion ($195,000)
Oxford United Review
Oxford United, coached by Gary Rowett, topped Group A with two emphatic wins: 6-3 over Indonesia Super League All-Stars on July 6, 2025, and 4-0 against Arema FC on July 10, 2025, at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium. Their 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring Mark Harris (2 goals vs All-Stars), Przemysław Płacheta (2 goals in tournament), and Leo Snowden (1 goal vs Arema), has produced 10 goals in two matches, averaging 5.0 goals per game. Despite a 20-minute floodlight failure during the Arema match, Oxford maintained control, with substitutes like Gatlin O’Donkor (1 goal) adding depth. However, injuries to key Indonesian players Ole Romeny (ankle, likely out after a tackle by Arema’s Paulinho Moccelin) and Marselino Ferdinan (doubtful, minor injury) are concerns. Their recent Championship form is mixed (W3-D2-L2), with a 1-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday on April 12, 2025. Home/away stats show a 70% handicap win rate and 60% over 2.5 goals. Recent form: WWLWD
Port FC Review
Port FC, led by coach Alexandre Gama, secured Group B with victories over Persib Bandung (2-0) on July 6, 2025, and Dewa United (2-1) on July 8, 2025, at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium. Their 4-2-3-1 formation, bolstered by Indonesian star Asnawi Mangkualam (key in creating a penalty vs Persib), relies on Bordin Phala (1 goal vs Persib) and Pato Matheus up top, supported by Tanaboon Kesarat in midfield. Port averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, with a disciplined defense (best in the tournament, per @BolaNet). Their Thai League form is strong (W4-D1-L1 in last 6), with a 3-1 win over Muangthong United on June 28, 2025. Suphanan Bureerat is expected to return after being rested, but no major injuries are reported. Their 75% over 1.5 goals rate and 50% clean sheet record highlight their balance. Recent form: WWLDW.
Head to Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Oxford United and Port FC, with no prior H2H data. Oxford’s high-scoring games (100% over 2.5 goals in the tournament) contrast with Port’s tighter matches (50% under 2.5 goals). Expected goals per match: ~2.8, with a 60% chance of both teams scoring, given Oxford’s attacking output and Port’s defensive solidity.
Prediction: Oxford United 2-1 Port FC
Oxford United’s attacking flair (10 goals in 2 games) faces Port FC’s robust defense (0.5 goals conceded per game). Oxford’s high shot volume (16 shots vs Arema) and set-piece prowess (Helik’s header vs All-Stars) give them an edge, but Port’s counterattacking threat, led by Phala and Matheus, could exploit Oxford’s depleted squad. Bookmakers slightly favor Oxford (odds ~1.80, 48% win probability), with over 2.5 goals at 1.85 (Oxford’s 100% over 2.5 trend) and both teams to score at 1.90. Oxford’s injury-hit attack may struggle against Port’s backline, but their depth (O’Donkor, Snowden) should secure a narrow win in a high-scoring final. Harris or Płacheta to score for Oxford, Phala for Port
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