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July 14th Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Sport Club do Recife Prediction

July 14th Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Sport Club do Recife Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Sport Club do Recife
Match Time:15-07-2025 07:00 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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The Brazilian Série A 2025 Matchday 13 clash between Esporte Clube Juventude and Sport Club do Recife is scheduled for July 14, 2025, at 20:00 local time (20:00 UTC) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul. Both teams are languishing near the relegation zone, with Juventude in 19th and Sport Recife in 20th, making this a critical encounter in their fight to avoid relegation.

Esporte Clube Juventude Review
Juventude, coached by Pintado, are 19th in Série A with 10 points from 12 matches (W2-D4-L6), scoring 10 goals and conceding 20 (0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded per game). Their 4-2-3-1 formation features Nenê (2 goals), Gilberto (2 goals), and new signing Erick Farias. Juventude’s home form is modest (2W-2D-2L, 1.2 goals scored), with a 2-1 win over Atlético-GO (May 24, 2025) as a highlight. However, they’ve won only two of their last 10 matches, with a 2-0 loss to Bahia (June 13, 2025) exposing defensive issues. Injuries to Lucas Barbosa (hamstring) and Jean Carlos (knee) are concerns, but Wilker Ángel is available. Probable XI: Gustavo; Reginaldo, Wilker Ángel, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes; Hudson, Jadson; Mandaca, Batalla, Erick Farias; Gilberto. Recent form: LLDLD

Sport Club do Recife Review
Sport Recife, under Augusto Inácio, are 20th with 9 points (W2-D3-L7), scoring 8 goals and conceding 21 (0.67 scored, 1.75 conceded per game). Their 4-3-3 formation relies on Romarinho (2 goals), Chrystian Barletta, and new signing Rafael Thyere. Sport’s away form is dire (0W-2D-4L, 0.5 goals scored), with no wins in their last six away games. A 1-0 loss to Fortaleza (June 29, 2025) and a 2-0 defeat to São Paulo (April 2, 2025) highlight their struggles. No major injuries reported, but defensive frailties (21 goals conceded) persist. Probable XI: Caíque; Igor Cariús, Rafael Thyere, Alisson Cassiano, Filipinho; Fabinho, Lucas André, Zé Roberto; Romarinho, Barletta, Diego. Recent form: LLDLL.

Head to Head
Juventude and Sport Recife have met six times since 2007, with Sport leading 3W-2W-1D (12 goals, 2.0 PPG; Juventude 6 goals, 1.0 PPG). Recent H2H results:
October 16, 2023 (Série B, Alfredo Jaconi): Juventude 2-2 Sport (Alan Ruiz, Edinho for Sport; goals unlisted for Juventude).
June 23, 2023 (Série B, Recife): Sport 3-0 Juventude.
October 12, 1997 (Série A): Juventude 2-1 Sport. Average goals per match: 3.0, with 75% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams to score (BTTS). Asian Handicap Win%: Juventude 0.0%, Sport 20.0%. Juventude are unbeaten at home against Sport in recent meetings (1W-1D)

Prediction: Juventude 1-0 Sport Club do Recife
Juventude’s home advantage (2W in 6) and H2H home record (unbeaten vs Sport) give them a slight edge over Sport’s dismal away form (0W in 6). Sport’s attack (0.67 goals per game) struggles to break down defenses, while Juventude’s Gilberto and Nenê can exploit Sport’s leaky backline (1.75 conceded). Both teams’ games trend low-scoring (Juventude 80% under 2.5 goals, Sport 60%), with 50% BTTS in H2H. Bookmakers favor Juventude (odds ~2.10, 45% win probability), with under 2.5 goals at 1.70 and no BTTS at 1.90. A tight, low-scoring game is expected, with Juventude capitalizing on home support.