July 14th Argentine Division 1 - Banfield VS Defensa Y Justicia Prediction
Argentine Division 1 - Banfield VS Defensa Y Justicia
Match Time:15-07-2025 06:00 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Banfield Review
Banfield, coached by Pedro Troglio, finished 29th in the 2025 Apertura with 14 points (W3-D5-L8), averaging 0.88 points per game. Their 4-2-3-1 formation features Juan Pablo Álvarez (2 goals), Gerónimo Rivera, and new signings Matías Orihuela and Joaquín Pombo. A 1-0 away win over Defensa y Justicia on January 23, 2025 (Tomás Nasif 55’), was a highlight, but losses like 2-0 to Tigre (June 26, Copa Argentina) and 3-1 to Central Córdoba (May 2) exposed defensive frailties. Banfield’s home form is inconsistent (2W-5D-3L, 1.1 goals scored, 1.3 conceded), with half their last 10 home games ending in draws. Injuries to Tomás Nasif (ankle) and Bruno Sepúlveda (foot) are concerns, while Alejandro Maciel’s transfer to Olimpia Asunción leaves Joaquín Pombo and Alexis Maldonado as likely center-backs. Probable XI: Sanguinetti; Di Luciano, Vittor, Oviedo, Abraham; Piñero, M. Ríos, Esquivel, G. Ríos; Alaníz, Auzmendi. Recent form: LLDWL
Defensa y Justicia Review
Defensa y Justicia, under Mariano Soso, finished 10th in Apertura Group A with 19 points (W5-D4-L6), missing the playoffs by two points. Their 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Juan Bautista Miritello (left wing, replacing Gastón Togni), Luciano Aguilera, and new signing Santiago Godoy. They averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, with a modest away record (3W-2D-4L). A 1-0 loss to Banfield in January and a 3-1 defeat to Independiente Rivadavia (July 9, Copa Argentina) highlight struggles, though a 2-1 win over Aldosivi (May 3) showed promise. David Barbona (knee surgery) is their only major injury, with 43-year-old Enrique Bologna expected in goal. Half their last 10 competitive matches ended in draws. Probable XI: Bologna; Ferreira, Aguilera, Ramos Mingo, Cáceres; Bogarín, Gutiérrez; Miritello, López, Molinas; Godoy. Recent form: WLDLL
Head to Head
Banfield and Defensa y Justicia have met five times in recent Primera División seasons, with Defensa leading 3W-1W-1D. Recent H2H results:
anuary 23, 2025 (Apertura, Varela): Banfield 1-0 Defensa (Nasif 55’).
September 11, 2023 (Primera División): Defensa 1-0 Banfield.
March 31, 2023 (Primera División): Banfield 0-0 Defensa. Average goals per match: 1.2, with 20% both teams to score (BTTS) and 20% over 2.5 goals. Banfield’s January win ended Defensa’s three-game H2H winning streak.
Prediction: Banfield 1-1 Defensa y Justicia
Banfield’s home form (2W in 10) and January H2H win (1-0) give them a slight edge, but injuries (Nasif, Sepúlveda) and Maciel’s departure weaken their defense. Defensa’s draw-heavy trend (50% of last 10) and Miritello’s pace could exploit Banfield’s backline, though Barbona’s absence limits their attack. Both teams’ low-scoring games (Banfield 60% under 2.5 goals, Defensa 80%) and H2H trends (1.2 goals per match) suggest a cagey affair. Bookmakers see a tight contest (Banfield ~2.50, 40% win probability; draw ~3.00, 33%), with under 2.5 goals at 1.65 and no BTTS at 1.85. Banfield’s home crowd and Troglio’s tactics should balance Defensa’s resilience, leading to a stalemate.
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