July 14th EAFF East Asian Cup - South Korea VS Japan Prediction
EAFF East Asian Cup - South Korea VS Japan
Match Time:15-07-2025 18:20 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2025 men’s final round Matchday 3 clash between South Korea and Japan is scheduled for July 15, 2025, at 20:00 KST (19:00 UTC) at Suwon World Cup Stadium, South Korea. This decisive fixture in the four-team round-robin tournament pits the host nation, South Korea, who lead with six points, against defending champions Japan, who have three points, with the title on the line.
South Korea Review
South Korea, coached by Hong Myung-bo, top the standings with two wins: a 3-0 victory over China PR on July 7 (Lee Dong-gyeong 9’, Joo Min-kyu 21’, Kim Ju-sung 57’) and a 2-0 win against Hong Kong on July 11 (Kang Sang-yoon 27’, Lee Ho-jae 67’). Their 5-4-1 formation, often shifting to a back-three, emphasizes defensive solidity (78% possession vs Hong Kong, 6/20 shots on target) and clinical finishing (5 goals, 0 conceded). Key players include Jo Hyeon-woo (goalkeeper, 2 clean sheets), Lee Dong-gyeong (1 goal), and Kang Sang-yoon (1 goal). The squad, primarily K League-based (23/26 players), lacks European stars like Son Heung-min due to the non-FIFA window, but debutants like Kim Ju-sung have impressed. No major injuries reported. Recent form: WWLWW.
Japan Review
Japan, under Go Oiwa, started with a 6-1 thrashing of Hong Kong on July 8 (Ryo Germain 4 goals, Sho Inagaki, Sota Nakamura) and a 2-0 win over China PR on July 12 (Mao Hosoya 11’, Henry Heroki Mochizuki 63’). Their 4-2-3-1 formation showcases attacking depth (8 goals, 2.67 per game) and midfield control (Satoshi Tanaka, Sho Inagaki). Japan’s squad, largely J League-based, includes standouts like Mao Hosoya (1 goal) and Ryo Germain (4 goals). They’ve conceded once in two matches, with goalkeeper Zion Suzuki maintaining solidity. No injuries reported, and their depth (192cm right-back Tsunashima Yuto) adds versatility. Recent form: WWWDW.
Head to Head
South Korea and Japan have met 81 times since 1954, with South Korea leading 43W-23D-15L (126 goals to Japan’s 76). In EAFF E-1 history (since 2003), they’ve faced off 7 times, with South Korea winning 4, Japan 2, and 1 draw. Recent H2H results:
July 27, 2022 (EAFF, Toyota): Japan 3-0 South Korea (Soma Yuki, Sasaki Sho, Morishita Ryota).
December 18, 2019 (EAFF, Busan): South Korea 1-0 Japan (Hwang In-beom).
December 16, 2017 (EAFF, Tokyo): South Korea 4-1 Japan (Kim Shin-wook 2, Cho Hyun-woo, Lee Jae-sung). Average goals per EAFF match: 2.71, with 57% over 2.5 goals and 43% both teams to score (BTTS). Japan’s 2022 win ended South Korea’s four-game EAFF H2H streak.
Prediction: South Korea 1-0 Japan
South Korea’s defensive record (no goals conceded, 2 clean sheets) and home advantage at Suwon (41,582 average attendance in 2025 A-matches) face Japan’s potent attack (8 goals, Ryo Germain’s 4). South Korea’s 5-4-1 counters Japan’s high-pressing 4-2-3-1, but Japan’s depth (Hosoya, Mochizuki) could exploit gaps, as seen in their 3-0 win in 2022. Bookmakers favor South Korea (odds ~2.10, 45% win probability), with under 2.5 goals at 1.90 (43% H2H trend) and BTTS at 1.80 (43% H2H). South Korea’s 78% possession vs Hong Kong and Japan’s 6-1 rout suggest a high-intensity, low-scoring game. South Korea’s H2H dominance (4/7 EAFF wins) and Hong’s tactical flexibility should edge out Japan’s attack.
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