July 7th UEFA European Women's Championship - Portugal (W) VS Italy (W) Prediction
UEFA European Women's Championship - Portugal (W) VS Italy (W)
Match Time:08-07-2025 03:00 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Portugal (Women) Review
Portugal, ranked 22nd in UEFA, are in their third consecutive Women’s Euro but have yet to advance past the group stage. Coached by Francisco Neto, they suffered a 5-0 loss to Spain in their Group B opener on July 3, 2025, struggling defensively despite a spirited second half. Their attack, led by Kika Nazareth (recently recovered from injury) and Jéssica Silva, averages 1.2 goals per match in recent competitive games, but they’ve failed to score in three of their last five (W2-D1-L2). Portugal’s 4-3-3 relies on pace and width, but their defense (1.6 goals conceded per match) was exposed against Spain’s press. Playing at Stade de Genève, they’ll lean on Tatiana Pinto’s midfield energy. Recent form: LWDWL.
Italy (Women) Review
Italy, ranked 13th, started their Euro 2025 campaign with a 1-0 win over Belgium on July 3, thanks to Arianna Caruso’s first-half stunner. Coached by Andrea Soncin, their 4-4-2 emphasizes Cristiana Girelli’s finishing (54 career goals) and a compact defense (0.8 goals conceded per match in qualifiers). Italy’s recent form is strong (W3-D1-L1), with a 4-0 win over Finland in qualifiers showcasing their attack. However, their lack of pace up top and reliance on Girelli (35 years old) could be exploited. With Caruso’s form (3 goals in qualifiers) and a favorable H2H record, Italy aim for a quarter-final spot. Recent form: WWDWL.
Head to Head
Portugal and Italy have met three times since 2019, with Italy unbeaten:
July 16, 2024 (Friendly, Italy): Italy 2-0 Portugal. Girelli and Caruso scored; Italy dominated possession.
December 5, 2023 (Nations League, Portugal): Portugal 0-1 Italy. Caruso’s goal sealed a narrow win.
February 22, 2019 (Friendly, Portugal): Italy 3-1 Portugal. Italy’s clinical finishing prevailed. Average goals per match: 2.33, with Italy winning all three (3W-0D-0L). Portugal scored once, and only one match saw both teams score. Italy’s defensive organization has consistently stifled Portugal’s attack.
Prediction：Prediction: Portugal 0-1 Italy
The Group B clash on July 7, 2025, at Stade de Genève is crucial for both teams’ quarter-final hopes. Portugal’s pace (Nazareth, Silva) could test Italy’s aging defense, but their 5-0 loss to Spain highlights vulnerabilities against structured sides. Italy’s 1-0 win over Belgium and Caruso’s form (86 km/h goal) give them momentum, and their H2H dominance (3-0-0) suggests tactical superiority. Portugal’s home crowd energy is absent in Switzerland, and Italy’s compact 4-4-2 should neutralize Portugal’s width. Bookmakers favor Italy (odds ~1.85). Expect a low-scoring, tactical battle, with Italy’s experience prevailing. Caruso or Girelli likely to score, with Italy’s defense holding firm.
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