July 7th Argentina Cup - Boca Juniors VS Atletico Tucuman Prediction

Argentina Cup - Boca Juniors VS Atletico Tucuman
Match Time:31-07-2025 01:00 Thursday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Boca Juniors Review
Boca Juniors, a dominant force in Argentine football with four Copa Argentina titles, are aiming to progress in the 2025 round of 32. Under Miguel Ángel Russo, they sit third in the Primera División with 33 points, though a 1-0 loss to Atlético Tucumán in May 2024 exposed vulnerabilities. Their attack, led by Edinson Cavani (7 goals) and Miguel Merentiel (5 goals, 3 assists), averages 1.5 goals per match, but their defense has been shaky, conceding in four of their last five games (0.8 goals conceded per match). Boca’s home form at La Bombonera is strong (61.54% of matches over 1.5 goals), but a disappointing FIFA Club World Cup (1D-2L) and Sergio Romero’s knee injury strain their squad. Recent form: LWWDL.
Atlético Tucumán Review
Atlético Tucumán, a mid-table Primera División side (21st with 16 points), have shown resilience in the Copa Argentina, reaching the round of 32 with a 1-0 league win over Boca in May 2024, thanks to Mateo Coronel’s goal. Coached by Facundo Sava, their attack relies on Coronel (4 goals) and Leandro Díaz (3 goals), averaging 1.16 goals per match. Defensively, they’re solid (0.9 goals conceded), but injuries to Iván Tesuri and Juan Infante (both cruciate ligament tears) weaken their midfield and defense. Their away form is decent (60% of matches over 1.5 goals), but they struggle against top sides. Recent form: WLWDD.
Head to Head
Boca Juniors and Atlético Tucumán have met 12 times since 2016, with Boca winning 5, Tucumán 4, and 3 draws. Recent encounters:
May 12, 2024 (Primera División, Tucumán): Atlético Tucumán 1-0 Boca Juniors (Coronel 29’). Tucumán capitalized on Boca’s lackluster attack.
August 28, 2023 (Primera División, La Bombonera): Boca Juniors 1-0 Atlético Tucumán. Cavani’s goal secured a narrow win.
March 12, 2022 (Copa de la Liga): Boca Juniors 2-1 Atlético Tucumán. Boca dominated possession. Average goals per match: 2.17, with 50% of games seeing both teams score. Boca have won three of their last five home games vs Tucumán, but Tucumán’s recent upset shows their potential.
Prediction: Boca Juniors 2-1 Atlético Tucumán
The Copa Argentina round of 32 match on July 23, 2025, at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero, favors Boca Juniors. Their home dominance (even at a neutral venue) and attacking depth (Cavani, Merentiel) should overpower Tucumán’s injury-hit squad. Tucumán’s defensive resilience and Coronel’s counterattacking threat could keep it close, but Boca’s experience in knockout competitions (4 Copa Argentina titles) and 54.9% possession average give them the edge. Bookmakers favor Boca (odds ~1.65). Expect a tight game, with Boca capitalizing late. Cavani or Merentiel likely to score, with Coronel posing a threat for Tucumán.
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