June 25th USA Major League Soccer - Toronto FC VS New York Red Bulls Prediction
USA Major League Soccer - Toronto FC VS New York Red Bulls
Match Time:26-06-2025 07:30 Thursday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Toronto FC
Toronto FC, coached by Robin Fraser, is 14th in the MLS Eastern Conference with 10 points from 18 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 14 losses), per FcTables.com. They lost 2-0 at home to Charlotte FC on May 31, 2025, extending a three-game losing streak. Their form shows 1 win and 5 losses in their last six MLS games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match. Key players include Theo Corbeanu, with 3 goals and 1 assist in 15 games, and goalkeeper Luka Gavran, who made 5 saves against Charlotte. Toronto’s strengths are their occasional attacking bursts (6-1 win at Montreal on May 17), but their defense is the league’s worst, conceding 34 goals in 18 games. Without Federico Bernardeschi (suspended), they face pressure to snap a 12-game winless run against New York Red Bulls at BMO Field.
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls, led by Sandro Schwarz, is 8th in the Eastern Conference with 27 points from 18 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). They lost 2-1 to Austin FC on June 14, 2025, ending a three-game winning streak. Their form includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded. Key players include Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, with 6 goals in his last 7 league games, and Emil Forsberg, who scored twice against Toronto in March. The Red Bulls’ strengths are their home dominance (7 wins in 9 at Sports Illustrated Stadium) and Choupo-Moting’s form, but they’re winless on the road (0-3-2). Despite injuries to Kyle Duncan and John Tolkin, they aim to reclaim a top-seven spot.
Head-to-Head
Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls have met 45 times, with the Red Bulls winning 24, Toronto 10, and 11 draws, averaging 2.82 goals per match. The Red Bulls won 2-1 on March 22, 2025, at home and 4-1 on October 2, 2024, dominating the last seven home games against Toronto, conceding just one goal. Toronto’s last win over the Red Bulls was in 2020 (3-1). Recent matches show 50% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 50% over 2.5 goals, per SportyTrader.com. The Red Bulls’ historical edge, especially in Toronto (4 wins in last 5 visits), gives them confidence.
Prediction: Toronto FC 1-2 New York Red Bulls
This MLS clash on June 25, 2025, at BMO Field, Toronto, at 7:30 PM EDT (23:30 UTC), sees Toronto desperate to end a dismal run against a Red Bulls side eyeing playoff positioning. Toronto’s Corbeanu could test New York’s depleted defense, but their leaky backline (10 goals conceded in 4 games) is vulnerable to Choupo-Moting and Forsberg. The Red Bulls’ road struggles (0 goals in last 2 away games) may give Toronto hope, but their historical dominance and Toronto’s defensive woes tilt the scales. Posts on X, like @WakingtheRed, note Toronto’s “missing points” and bad memories at BMO Field, while @NewYorkRedBulls signal confidence. SportyTrader’s algorithm gives the Red Bulls a 54.72% win chance with odds of 2.33 at 22bet. Both teams’ trends (Toronto: 50% over 2.5 goals; Red Bulls: 50%) suggest goals. Referee TBD may issue cards if Toronto’s frustration boils over. The match streams on MLS Season Pass via Apple TV.
Choupo-Moting is likely to score for the Red Bulls, with Corbeanu possibly netting for Toronto. The Red Bulls’ attacking form and historical edge should secure a narrow away win, deepening Toronto’s woes while boosting New York’s playoff push.
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