June 12th Brazil Serie A - Fortaleza VS Santos Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Fortaleza VS Santos
Match Time:13-06-2025 06:30 Friday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Brazil Serie A match between Fortaleza and Santos, scheduled for June 13, 2025, at Arena Castelão in Fortaleza, is a Matchday 12 fixture. Both teams are in the relegation zone, making this a critical six-pointer. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a shortened prediction, incorporating relevant web and X sources.
Team Analysis
Fortaleza (Current Rank: 17th, 10 points)
Coached by Juan Pablo Vojvoda, Fortaleza are in poor form, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in 11 matches. A 5-0 loss to Flamengo highlights their struggles, with only 1 goal scored in their last five games across all competitions.
Strengths:
Home Advantage: Fortaleza have a 1.4 points-per-game average at home, with notable wins earlier in the season.
Key Players: Juan Martín Lucero (3 goals) and Tomás Pochettino offer attacking threat, while goalkeeper João Ricardo made 8 saves against Flamengo.
Defensive Potential: Despite recent losses, they’ve had clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 home games.
Weaknesses:
Poor Form: Winless in their last six games, with 5 consecutive defeats and 12 goals conceded in that span.
Injuries and Suspensions: Pedro Augusto is suspended, and Lucas Sasha is likely out, weakening the midfield.
Santos (Current Rank: 18th, 8 points)
Managed by Cléber Xavier, Santos have struggled since promotion from Serie B, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses. A 1-0 win over Vitória on May 25 ended a six-game away losing streak, but a recent loss to Botafogo (0-1) shows ongoing issues.
Strengths:
Defensive Improvement: Under Xavier, Santos conceded only 4 goals in 7 games, suggesting growing solidity.
Key Players: Guilherme (10 goals in Paulista) and Deivid Washington (Chelsea loanee) can pose threats, with Álvaro Barreal adding width.
Recent Win: Their Vitória victory shows potential to grind out results.
Weaknesses:
Away Struggles: Only 1 win in 6 away games, with a 17% win rate and 1.15 xG against.
Absences: Neymar is suspended (red card), João Paulo is out due to personal reasons, and Matheus Xavier and Veron are absent, limiting options.
Head-to-Head History
Fortaleza and Santos have met 16 times since 2005 in Serie A and other competitions:
Total Matches: 16
Fortaleza Wins: 5 (Total Goals: 18, PPG: 1.3)
Santos Wins: 3 (Total Goals: 12, PPG: 0.9)
Draws: 8
Recent Encounters:
December 7, 2023 (Serie A): Fortaleza won 2-1 at home.
August 13, 2023 (Serie A): Fortaleza won 2-0 away.
August 2021 (Serie A): Fortaleza won 2-0 at home.
Goal Trends: 50% BTTS, 43.8% over 2.5 goals in 16 matches. Average goals per match: 2.13. Fortaleza are unbeaten in their last 5 against Santos (3 wins, 2 draws).
Prediction: Fortaleza 1-0 Santos
Fortaleza’s strong home record against Santos (3-2-0 in last 5) and slight edge in form (despite 5 losses) favor them over Santos, who are depleted by suspensions and absences (Neymar, João Paulo). Both teams struggle to score (Fortaleza: 1 goal in 5; Santos: 2 in 5), but Fortaleza’s home advantage at Arena Castelão should secure a narrow win in a low-scoring game.
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