June 12th Brazil Serie A - Bragantino VS Bahia Prediction

Brazil Serie A - Bragantino VS Bahia
Match Time:13-06-2025 06:00 Friday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Brazil Serie A match between Red Bull Bragantino and Bahia, scheduled for June 13, 2025, at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid in Bragança Paulista, is a Matchday 12 fixture. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a shortened prediction for the match, incorporating relevant web and X sources.
Team Analysis
Red Bull Bragantino (Current Rank: 3rd, 23 points)
Coached by Fernando Seabra, Bragantino are in strong form, sitting third in Serie A with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their recent 2-0 away win over Vasco da Gama highlights their defensive solidity and efficient attack, with 14 goals scored and 8 conceded this season.
Strengths:
Home Form: Bragantino boast a 4-1-1 home record, winning their last three home games without conceding, including a 6-0 Copa do Brasil rout of Criciúma.
Key Players: Goalkeeper Cleiton Schwengber (5 clean sheets, 34 saves) and attackers Helinho and Eduardo Sasha drive their offense, averaging 1.29 goals per match at home.
Defensive Record: Only 8 goals conceded in 11 matches, third-best in Serie A.
Weaknesses:
Recent Dip: A 1-2 home loss to Palmeiras and a draw against Grêmio show occasional vulnerabilities.
Disciplinary Issues: Frequent cards (e.g., 4 in their last match) could disrupt rhythm.
Bahia (Current Rank: 7th, 18 points)
Managed by Rogério Ceni, Bahia have 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses but are struggling, with a 0-2 loss to Confiança in their last outing. They’re competing in multiple competitions (Copa Sudamericana, Copa do Brasil) but have exited the Copa Libertadores.
Strengths:
Attacking Potential: Everaldo and Thaciano lead the attack, with Bahia averaging 1.56 goals per match overall and 1.0 in their last five.
Recent Form: Unbeaten in three of their last five league games, with 2 wins and 1 draw.
Key Players: Goalkeeper Marcos Felipe and midfielder Cauly Oliveira Souza provide stability.
Weaknesses:
Poor Away Form: Only 1 win in 5 away matches (1 draw, 3 losses), scoring just 1 goal in their last five away games.
Taboo Against Bragantino: Bahia have never won at Bragantino’s home ground in 17 attempts (8 losses, 9 draws).
Head-to-Head History
Bragantino and Bahia have met 18 times since 2008 across Serie A and other competitions:
Total Matches: 18
Bragantino Wins: 8 (Total Goals: 31, PPG: 1.72)
Bahia Wins: 5 (Total Goals: 22, PPG: 1.22)
Draws: 5
Recent Encounters:
September 1, 2024 (Serie A): Bragantino won 2-1 at home.
May 12, 2024 (Serie A): Bahia won 1-0 at home.
August 20, 2023 (Serie A): Bahia won 4-0 at home.
Goal Trends: 55% BTTS, 66.7% over 2.5 goals in their last 11 meetings. Average goals per match: 3.11.
Home Record: Bragantino are unbeaten in 9 home games against Bahia (8 wins, 1 draw), with 6 clean sheets.
Prediction: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Bragantino’s unbeaten home record against Bahia (8-1-0) and strong form (3rd, 4-1-1 at home) give them the edge over Bahia, who’ve lost their last five away games and never won at Bragantino’s ground. Both teams’ attacks (66.7% over 2.5 goals) suggest goals, but Bragantino’s defense should secure a narrow win at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid.
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