June 11th Argentina Primera B Metropolitana - Excursionistas VS Liniers Prediction
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana - Excursionistas VS Liniers
Match Time:12-06-2025 07:00 Thursday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Argentina Primera B Metropolitana match between Excursionistas and Liniers, scheduled for June 11, 2025, at Estadio Coliseo del Bajo Belgrano in Buenos Aires, is a Matchday 17 fixture in the 2025 Apertura season. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a prediction for the match, incorporating relevant web and X sources.
Team Reviews
Excursionistas (Current Rank: 11th, 23 points)
Excursionistas, coached by Juan Carlos Kopriva, have had a mixed 2025 Apertura campaign, with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 16 matches. Their recent form includes a draw-heavy streak, with 11 consecutive matches without a loss but no wins (all draws), averaging 0.82 goals per match. They sit mid-table, aiming to push for a top-six spot to qualify for the Copa Argentina.
Strengths:
Defensive Stability: Excursionistas have not lost in their last 11 matches, with 5 clean sheets this season. Defenders like Lucas Reynoso and Ulises Yegros have been crucial.
Home Advantage: Playing at Coliseo del Bajo Belgrano, where they’re unbeaten in their last 18 home games (though 7 recent home matches ended in draws), boosts their confidence.
Key Players: Zárate Fagiuoli (4 goals) and Facundo Figueroa lead the attack, with Gian Zoratti providing midfield creativity.
Weaknesses:
Lack of Wins: Their 11-match draw streak (no wins) shows a struggle to convert chances, with only 16 goals scored in 16 games.
Low Scoring: Their 27.27% over 2.5 goals rate and 0.82 goals per match average indicate offensive struggles.
Liniers (Current Rank: 8th, 24 points)
Liniers, under coach Diego Herrero, have performed well in their return to Primera B Metropolitana after promotion in 2023, with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in 16 matches. Their latest result was a 0-1 win over San Martin de Burzaco, but a recent slump (4 points from 18) has raised concerns.
Strengths:
Attacking Output: Liniers average 1.64 goals per match, with top scorers Linas (11 goals), Pompei (4 goals), and Romero (3 goals) driving their attack.
Recent Win: Their 1-0 victory over San Martin de Burzaco shows resilience, ending a four-match winless streak.
Key Players: Rodrigo Dimotta anchors the defense, while Agustín Occhiato and Julián Rodríguez Seguer add flair upfront.
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent Form: Liniers have only 4 points from their last 6 games, with posts on X noting a “barranca abajo” (downward spiral) and no “signals of reaction.”
Away Struggles: Their away form is poor, with a four-match winless streak (all draws) and a 42.86% over 2.5 goals rate on the road.
Head-to-Head History
Excursionistas and Liniers have met three times in recent competitive matches (Primera C and Primera B):
Total Matches: 3
Excursionistas Wins: 1 (Total Goals: 4, PPG: 1.33)
Liniers Wins: 1 (Total Goals: 2, PPG: 0.67)
Draws: 1
Recent Encounters:
June 29, 2024 (Primera B, Matchday 2): 0-0 draw at Excursionistas. Both teams had chances, but defenses held firm, with Lucas Reynoso (Excursionistas) and Rodrigo Dimotta (Liniers) standing out.
June 5, 2023 (Primera C, Matchday 20): Excursionistas won 3-0 at home, with goals from Gian Zoratti, Claudio Galeano, and Facundo Figueroa.
January 28, 2023 (Primera C, Matchday 1): Liniers won 2-1 at home, with Julián Rodríguez Seguer and Agustín Occhiato scoring for Liniers, and Juan Cruz Villagra for Excursionistas.
Goal Trends: 66.67% of their matches produced over 2.5 goals, with BTTS in 33.33%. Average goals per match: 2.33.
Match Prediction
This Matchday 17 clash is critical for both teams, with Excursionistas aiming to break their draw streak and Liniers seeking to climb the table. The match kicks off at 20:00 local time and will be broadcast by TyC Sports and local radio stations like Topadora, Fuego y Pasion.
Key Factors:
Excursionistas’ Home Form: Their 18-match unbeaten home streak (though draw-heavy) gives them an edge, especially with a passionate crowd at Coliseo del Bajo Belgrano.
Liniers’ Attack vs. Excursionistas’ Defense: Liniers’ 1.64 goals per match could test Excursionistas’ solid backline, but their recent away draws (all under 1.5 goals) suggest caution.
Recent Form: Excursionistas’ 11 draws contrast with Liniers’ recent win, but posts on X highlight Liniers’ lack of “reaction” in recent games, which could hinder them.
Statistical Insights:
Excursionistas: 37.5% win rate, 27.27% over 2.5 goals, 11-match draw streak with 100% under 2.5 goals recently.
Liniers: 43.75% win rate, 42.86% over 2.5 goals, 4 points from last 6 games.
Head-to-Head: Evenly matched, with a 0-0 draw in 2024 and high-scoring games in 2023 (3-0, 2-1).
Prediction: Excursionistas’ home advantage and defensive solidity should keep them competitive, but their inability to convert draws into wins is a concern. Liniers’ attacking threat could lead to a goal, but their poor away form and recent struggles suggest a stalemate is likely, mirroring their 0-0 draw in June 2024. Expect a low-scoring, cautious game.
Final Score Prediction: Excursionistas 1-1 Liniers
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