June 11th UEFA European U-21 Football Championship - Portugal U21 VS France U21 Prediction
UEFA European U-21 Football Championship - Portugal U21 VS France U21
Match Time:12-06-2025 03:00 Thursday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The UEFA European Under-21 Championship 2025 match between Portugal U21 and France U21, scheduled for June 11, 2025, at Štadión na Sihoti in Trenčín, Slovakia, is a Group C opener. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a prediction for the match, based on available data and web sources.
Team Reviews
Portugal U21 (FIFA Rank: N/A for U21, Senior Rank: 8)
Coached by Rui Jorge, Portugal U21 are three-time runners-up (1994, 2015, 2021) and enter the tournament after a strong qualifying campaign, winning 9 of 10 matches (L1). They face pressure after back-to-back friendly losses to Romania and England in March 2025 but boast a talented squad.
Strengths:
Attacking Firepower: Fábio Silva was the top scorer in qualifying with 8 goals, one shy of the U21 EURO record. Players like Geovany Quenda, Mateus Fernandes, and Tiago Tomas add dynamism.
Recent Form: Portugal won 8 of their last 13 U21 EURO group matches (D3, L2), scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game in qualifiers.
Squad Depth: With players like Eduardo Quaresma and Paulo Bernardo, Portugal have quality across all positions.
Weaknesses:
Defensive Concerns: Portugal failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six games, including friendlies, making them vulnerable to France’s attack.
Recent Losses: Back-to-back defeats in March friendlies suggest potential inconsistencies under pressure.
France U21 (FIFA Rank: N/A for U21, Senior Rank: 2)
Managed by Gerald Baticle, France U21 are a powerhouse, having won 13 of their last 15 U21 EURO group matches, with their only setbacks being a 0-0 draw (Romania, 2019) and a 0-1 loss to Denmark (2021). They’re on a four-match unbeaten run but are missing key players due to injuries.
Strengths:
Defensive Record: France have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 15 U21 EURO group games and never conceded more than one goal in a group match.
Key Players: Mathys Tel (Tottenham Hotspur), a versatile winger/striker, is a major threat, supported by Wilson Odobert and Loum Tchaouna.
Form: France’s recent two wins in friendlies give them momentum, with an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches.
Weaknesses:
Injuries: Castellu Lukeba and Jean Bahoya are sidelined, potentially weakening their defense and midfield.
Pressure to Perform: As tournament favorites with a stacked squad, France face expectations to dominate, which could lead to early mistakes.
Head-to-Head History
Portugal U21 and France U21 have met once in a U21 EURO final tournament:
Total Matches: 1
France Wins: 1 (Total Goals: 1, PPG: 1.0)
Portugal Wins: 0
Draws: 0
Recent Encounter: France won 1-0 in the 2006 group stage.
Goal Trends: The sole meeting was low-scoring (under 2.5 goals, no BTTS), suggesting tight contests between these sides.
Match Prediction
This Group C opener is crucial for both teams, with the top two advancing to the quarter-finals. Portugal’s attacking talent faces France’s robust defense in a match expected to be competitive, given Group C’s strength (including Poland and Georgia).
Key Factors:
Portugal’s Attack vs. France’s Defense: Portugal’s Fábio Silva and Geovany Quenda will test France’s backline, but France’s clean-sheet record (67% in group stages) gives them an edge.
Injuries: France’s missing players may impact their depth, while Portugal’s fully fit squad allows tactical flexibility.
Venue: The neutral Štadión na Sihoti in Trenčín levels the playing field, but France’s experience in big matches could shine.
Statistical Insights:
Portugal: 80% win rate in qualifiers, 60% of recent games over 2.5 goals.
France: 87% win rate in group matches, only 13% of group games over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head: France’s 1-0 win in 2006 and low-scoring trend suggest a cautious game.
Prediction: France’s defensive solidity and tournament experience make them slight favorites, but Portugal’s attacking quality and fit squad could exploit France’s injury concerns. Given the head-to-head history and France’s clean-sheet record, a draw is likely in this tight opener.
Final Score Prediction: Portugal U21 1-1 France U21
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