June 10th FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Iran VS North Korea Prediciton
FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Iran VS North Korea
Match Time:11-06-2025 00:00 Wednesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Iran (FIFA Rank: 19)
Iran, known as Team Melli, have already qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 2-2 draw against Uzbekistan on March 25, 2025, topping Group A with 20 points (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Coached by Amir Ghalenoei, they aim to secure first place in the group with a strong home performance.
Strengths:
Attacking Prowess: Led by Mehdi Taremi (Inter Milan), Iran average 2.0 goals per game in the third round, with a 4-1 win over Qatar showcasing their firepower.
Home Dominance: Iran are unbeaten at Azadi Stadium in World Cup qualifiers since 2013, with a 100% win rate in their last three home games this cycle.
Depth: Players like Sardar Azmoun and Saeid Ezatolahi provide versatility, with Taremi scoring in key matches.
Weaknesses:
Recent Slip: A 1-0 loss to Qatar on June 5, 2025, exposed vulnerabilities, especially with 10 men after Shojae Khalilzadeh’s red card.
Disciplinary Issues: Khalilzadeh’s suspension for this match due to his red card could weaken the defense.
North Korea (FIFA Rank: 108)
North Korea, the Chollima, are bottom of Group A with 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). Already eliminated from World Cup contention, they play for pride and potential Asian Cup qualification via the fourth round. Their matches have been held at neutral venues (Vientiane, Laos, and Riyadh, Saudi Arabia) due to security concerns.
Strengths:
Resilience: North Korea showed fight in a 3-1 loss to Iran and a 2-2 draw with Kyrgyzstan, pulling back goals despite trailing.
Counter-Attacks: Players like Ri Jo Guk have capitalized on defensive errors, as seen in their goal against Iran.
Weaknesses:
Poor Form: Winless in the third round, North Korea have conceded 2.0 goals per game, with heavy losses to Uzbekistan (0-1) and the UAE (0-2).
Neutral Venue Struggles: Playing away from home, even at neutral sites, has limited their competitiveness, with only 0.33 points per game.
Head-to-Head History
Iran and North Korea have met five times in competitive matches since 2009:
Total Matches: 5
Iran Wins: 4 (Total Goals: 10, PPG: 2.0)
North Korea Wins: 0
Draws: 1
Recent Encounter: Iran won 3-1 in Vientiane, Laos, on November 14, 2024, despite being reduced to 10 men. North Korea scored via an own goal by Taremi.
Goal Trends: 60% of their last five meetings have produced over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring (BTTS) in 40%. Average goals per match: 2.8.
Match Prediction
Iran, already qualified, aim to secure top spot in Group A, while North Korea, eliminated, seek a rare positive result. The match at Azadi Stadium heavily favors Iran due to their home dominance and superior squad.
Key Factors:
Iran’s Home Advantage: Azadi Stadium’s 78,000-capacity crowd and Iran’s unbeaten home record make an upset unlikely.
North Korea’s Struggles: Their winless run and defensive issues (18 goals conceded in 9 games) suggest they’ll struggle against Iran’s attack.
Disciplinary Impact: Iran’s missing defender Khalilzadeh may give North Korea counter-attacking chances, but Iran’s depth should compensate.
Statistical Insights:
Iran: 67% win probability in the third round, 60% of matches over 2.5 goals.
North Korea: 0% win probability, 60% of matches over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head: Iran’s 80% win rate and recent 3-1 victory favor them heavily.
Prediction: Iran’s attacking quality and home advantage should overwhelm North Korea’s porous defense. North Korea may score on a counter, but Iran’s depth ensures a comfortable win.
Final Score Prediction: Iran 3-1 North Korea
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