June 10th FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Uzbekistan VS Qatar Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Uzbekistan VS Qatar
Match Time:10-06-2025 21:45 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Uzbekistan (FIFA Rank: 56)
Uzbekistan, known as the White Wolves, have secured their historic first World Cup qualification with a 0-0 draw against the UAE on June 5, 2025, finishing in the top two of Group A with 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Under coach Timur Kapadze, they’ve shown resilience, aiming to end their campaign unbeaten at home in front of a celebratory crowd.
Strengths:
Defensive Solidity: Uzbekistan have conceded only 0.89 goals per game in the third round, with goalkeeper Utkir Yusupov earning praise for crucial saves against the UAE.
Home Form: Unbeaten in their last five home qualifiers, including a 1-0 win over North Korea, Uzbekistan thrive at Bunyodkor Stadium.
Key Players: Jaloliddin Masharipov and Abbosbek Fayzullaev provide creativity and goal-scoring threat, with Fayzullaev scoring twice in their recent 3-2 loss to Qatar.
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent Finishing: Despite averaging 1.33 goals per game, Uzbekistan have struggled to convert chances against top teams, as seen in their 0-0 draw with Iran.
Motivation Factor: Already qualified, Uzbekistan may lack intensity, potentially rotating players to rest key starters for future competitions.
Qatar (FIFA Rank: 43)
Qatar, the Al Annabi, are fourth in Group A with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses). They’ve secured a spot in the fourth round of qualifiers but cannot qualify directly for the World Cup. Under coach Julen Lopetegui, Qatar are building for the future, leveraging their 2022 World Cup hosting experience and back-to-back AFC Asian Cup titles (2019, 2023).
Strengths:
Attacking Quality: Led by Akram Afif and Almoez Ali, Qatar average 1.56 goals per game in the third round, with a 3-2 win over Uzbekistan showcasing their firepower.
Recent Momentum: Their 1-0 upset over Iran, with Pedro Correia’s goal, highlights their ability to compete against stronger teams.
Experience: Qatar’s familiarity with high-stakes matches gives them an edge in handling pressure.
Weaknesses:
Defensive Frailties: Conceding 1.78 goals per game, Qatar have struggled defensively, as seen in heavy losses to Iran (1-4) and the UAE (1-3).
Away Struggles: Qatar’s away form is poor, with only one win in their last five away qualifiers (1-0 vs. Kyrgyzstan), averaging 0.4 points per game on the road.
Head-to-Head History
Uzbekistan and Qatar have faced each other six times in competitive matches since 2000:
Total Matches: 6
Uzbekistan Wins: 2 (Total Goals: 7, PPG: 1.17)
Qatar Wins: 2 (Total Goals: 8, PPG: 1.33)
Draws: 2
Recent Encounter: Qatar won 3-2 on November 14, 2024, in Doha, with Almoez Ali scoring twice and Lucas Mendes netting a 90+12’ winner, despite Uzbekistan’s late comeback via Fayzullaev’s brace.
Goal Trends: 80% of their last five meetings have produced over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring (BTTS) in 60%. Average goals per match: 3.0.
Match Prediction
Uzbekistan, already qualified, will play with pride at home, while Qatar aim to build momentum for the fourth round. The festive atmosphere in Tashkent favors Uzbekistan, but Qatar’s attacking duo of Afif and Ali remains dangerous.
Key Factors:
Uzbekistan’s Home Advantage: Unbeaten at home and backed by a passionate crowd, Uzbekistan are favored to avoid defeat.
Qatar’s Away Woes: Qatar’s 0.4 points per game away and defensive issues make an upset unlikely against a solid Uzbek side.
Motivation: Uzbekistan may rotate but will want to celebrate their World Cup qualification, while Qatar’s recent win over Iran shows they can compete.
Statistical Insights:
Uzbekistan: 44% win probability in the third round, with 33% of matches going over 2.5 goals.
Qatar: 22% win probability, with 67% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head: High-scoring trend (80% over 2.5 goals) suggests goals on both sides.
Prediction: Uzbekistan’s home form and defensive solidity should edge out Qatar’s inconsistent away performances. Expect a competitive, high-scoring match with Uzbekistan securing a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Uzbekistan 2-1 Qatar
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