June 10th FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Japan VS Indonesia Prediction

FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Japan VS Indonesia
Match Time:10-06-2025 18:35 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Japan (Rank 16, 1st in Group C, 20 points)
Form: 6W-2D-1L; recent 3-1 win vs. China (Koki Ogawa x2, Ko Itakura), 1-0 loss to Australia. Qualified for the 2026 World Cup, per.
Strengths: Coach Hajime Moriyasu’s 3-4-2-1, with stars like Wataru Endo (Liverpool), Takefusa Kubo (Real Sociedad), and Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton), dominates possession (avg. 62%) and attack (26 goals in 9 matches, 2.9 per game). Playing at Suita City Stadium, Osaka, with strong fan support, per. Unbeaten in last 5 home qualifiers (4W-1D).
Weaknesses: Rare defensive lapses (own goal in 1-1 vs. Australia). Recent loss to Australia exposed vulnerabilities to physical play. Moriyasu’s conservative tactics criticized, per.
Key Players: Ogawa, Endo, Mitoma, Kubo.
Indonesia (Rank 126, 4th in Group C, 12 points)
Form: 3W-3D-3L; recent 1-0 win vs. China (Ole Romeny), 2-0 win vs. Saudi Arabia (Marselino Ferdinan x2).
Strengths: Coach Patrick Kluivert’s 4-3-3, bolstered by Dutch-born players like Romeny and Joey Pelupessy, brings flair, per. Ferdinan (Oxford United) and Rafael Struick add attacking threat. Home win vs. Saudi Arabia shows upset potential, per. Aiming for a top-four finish for playoff qualification.
Weaknesses: Inconsistent defense (11 goals conceded in 9 matches). No prior World Cup appearances (last as Dutch East Indies, 1938). Away form weaker (1W-2D-2L in last 5), per.
Key Players: Romeny, Ferdinan, Struick.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 2 matches since 2023; Japan won both (8-1 aggregate). Recent: Japan 4-0 Indonesia (Nov 2024, AFC qualifier, Jakarta), per; Japan 4-1 (Jan 2024, Asian Cup).
Trends: Japan dominates, with both H2Hs over 2.5 goals. Indonesia scored once (2024 Asian Cup) but struggled defensively (avg. 4 goals conceded per game vs. Japan). Japan’s possession (67% in 2024) overwhelmed Indonesia’s counter-attacks.
Prediction: Japan 3-1 Indonesia
Group C final matchday at Suita City Stadium, Osaka (7:35 PM JST, per). Japan, already qualified, aim to end their campaign unbeaten at home. Indonesia, fourth with 12 points, need a win or draw to secure a playoff spot (third/fourth advance to fourth round), per. Group C includes Australia (16 points), Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, China. Top two qualify directly; third/fourth enter playoffs, per. Japan’s superior squad depth and home dominance (26 goals scored in qualifiers) face Indonesia’s spirited attack. Indonesia’s recent wins (1-0 vs. China, 2-0 vs. Saudi Arabia) show resilience, but Japan’s 4-0 rout in Jakarta and 2.9 goals-per-game average suggest control. Kluivert’s side may score via Romeny or Ferdinan, but Japan’s attacking stars (Ogawa, Mitoma) likely prevail. Social media (@jfa_samuraiblue, @idextratime) favors Japan but notes Indonesia’s “dream alive” for playoffs, per. Japan’s home form (4W-1D) and H2H dominance (8-1 aggregate) outweigh Indonesia’s counter-threat. Indonesia’s defensive gaps (11 goals conceded) are exposed by Japan’s attack, but Romeny’s form (3 goals in 3 caps) may yield a goal, per. Group C’s 2.83 goals-per-match average supports a high-scoring game, per.
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