FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Italy VS Moldova Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Italy VS Moldova
Match Time:10-06-2025 02:45 Tuesday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Italy (Rank 10, 4th in Group I, 0 points)
Form: 0W-0D-1L; recent 3-0 loss to Norway (June 6, 2025), their first World Cup qualifier. Lost 5-4 on penalties to Germany in UEFA Nations League quarter-finals (March 2025).
Strengths: Despite the loss, Italy retains a talented squad with Federico Dimarco’s wing play and Gianluca Scamacca’s finishing, per X (@IFTVofficial). Playing at home (venue TBD, likely Stadio Olimpico, Rome), they aim to rebound. Deep squad with new call-ups like Daniele Rugani and Mauro Coppola replacing injured Alessandro Gabbia, per X (@IFTVofficial).
Weaknesses: Luciano Spalletti’s sacking after the Norway loss creates uncertainty; he’ll oversee this match before departing, per X (@Sachk0). Defensive crisis (3 goals conceded vs. Norway, Gabbia injured) and low morale after a 0-0-1 start. X posts (@salhincrow, @FUTERweb) highlight pressure and a “shocking setup” vs. Norway.
Key Players: Dimarco, Scamacca, Nicolo Barella.
Moldova (Rank 151, 2nd in Group I, 3 points)
Form: 1W-0D-1L; recent 2-3 loss to Estonia (March 25, 2025), 3-0 win vs. Israel.
Strengths: Coach Serghei Cleșcenco’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Ion Nicolaescu’s scoring (1 goal vs. Estonia) and Vitalie Damașcan’s flair. Moldova’s counter-attacking style and Nations League group winner status (assured playoff spot) boost confidence, per. No reported injuries.
Weaknesses: Limited experience against top sides like Italy. Defensive errors (5 goals conceded in 2 qualifiers). Away form weak (1W-0D-2L in last 3 competitive matches). X posts (@Save_A_Man) note Moldova’s underdog status despite past wins vs. weaker teams.
Key Players: Nicolaescu, Damașcan, Victor Stînă.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 5 matches since 2000; Italy won all 5 (15 goals scored, 2 conceded). Last meeting: Italy 6-0 (2020 friendly).
Trends: Italy dominates H2H, with 4 of 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Moldova scored in 2 of 5 but never led. Italy’s average possession vs. Moldova is 65%, per AiScore, limiting Moldova’s chances.
Prediction: Italy 3-0 Moldova
Group I clash at 2:45 PM ET, per, likely in Rome. Italy, with 0 points, face a must-win to revive their campaign after Norway’s upset. Moldova, with 3 points, aims to stun another favorite. Group I includes Norway (9 points), Estonia (3), Israel (0); the winner qualifies directly, runners-up enter playoffs, per. Italy’s superior quality and home advantage outweigh Moldova’s counter-threat. Spalletti’s final match motivates Italy, despite defensive issues. Moldova’s recent loss to Estonia and H2H struggles (0-5 record) limit their chances. X posts (@loud_republic, @Save_A_Man) predict an Italy win, with @salhincrow calling for a “thrashing.” A comfortable Italy victory aligns with their 5-0 H2H record and Moldova’s away defensive woes. Italy’s attacking depth (Scamacca, Dimarco) exploits Moldova’s high concession rate (2.5 goals per game). Norway’s 3-0 win over Italy exposed defensive gaps, but Moldova lacks Haaland-like firepower. Italy’s 65% possession and 15 goals in 5 H2Hs suggest a clean-sheet win, supported by Group I’s 4.33 goals per match average, per.
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