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7th Jun. Toulon Tournament - Japan U20 VS Mexico U20 Prediction

7th Jun. Toulon Tournament - Japan U20 VS Mexico U20 Prediction
Toulon Tournament - Japan U20 VS Mexico U20
Match Time:07-06-2025 20:00 Saturday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Japan U20 (Rank 52, 3rd in Group B, 3 points)
Form: 1W-0D-0L; recent 2-0 win vs. Congo U20 (Soma Kanda x2). Last 5 matches: 3W-0D-2L (4-1 vs. Indonesia U20, 2-1 vs. Ukraine U23, 1-0 vs. Panama U23 in 2024 Toulon).
Strengths: Coach Yuzo Funakoshi’s attacking 4-2-3-1 features Soma Kanda (Kawasaki Frontale, 2 goals vs. Congo) and overseas talents Rento Takaoka (Southampton) and Yutaka Michiwaki (SK Beveren). Strong possession and high pressing at Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer.
Weaknesses: Defensive lapses (conceded in 3 of last 5) and limited depth against physical sides like Mexico. Recent 3-2 loss to USA U19 exposed vulnerabilities.
Key Players: Kanda, Takaoka, Alen Inoue (Sanfrecce Hiroshima).

Mexico U20 (Rank 25, 4th in Group B, 1 point)
Form: 0W-1D-0L; recent 3-3 draw vs. Denmark U20 (lost 4-5 on penalties; goals from Oswaldo Virgen, Juan Uribe, Tahiel Jiménez). Last 5: 1W-2D-2L (2-1 vs. USA U20, 3-3 vs. Greece U19).
Strengths: Coach Eduardo Arce’s 4-3-3 relies on Stephano Carrillo (Feyenoord) and Heriberto Jurado (Cercle Bruges). Physicality and flair from Chido Obi (Manchester United) suit open games. 2012 Toulon champions.
Weaknesses: Defensive frailty (1.6 goals conceded per game in last 5). Penalty shootout loss to Denmark exposed mental lapses. Struggled vs. stronger sides (1-0 loss to France U20).
Key Players: Carrillo, Jurado, Obi.

Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 2 matches since 2005; Japan won 1 (3-0, 2005 Toulon), 1 draw (0-0, 2005 Toulon). No recent H2H at U20 level; Mexico U23 drew 0-0 with Japan U19 in 2024 Toulon.
Trends: Low-scoring games (1 of 2 under 2.5 goals). Japan’s defensive structure limited Mexico’s attack in past meetings, but Mexico’s physicality caused issues.

Prediction: Japan U20 2-1 Mexico U20
Group B match at Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer (2:00 PM CET). Japan seeks to maintain momentum after beating Congo; Mexico needs a win to boost semi-final chances. Group B includes Denmark, Congo, and one other team; top two advance. Japan’s organized pressing and Kanda’s form meet Mexico’s physical attack led by Carrillo. Mexico’s defensive issues (1.6 goals conceded per game) give Japan an edge, but Obi’s flair could exploit Japan’s backline. Social media (@JSoccerMagazine, @lavozdelpitic) highlights Japan’s slight favoritism but notes Mexico’s upset potential. A tight game with goals likely. Japan’s recent 2-0 win and cohesive play outweigh Mexico’s inconsistent defense. Kanda’s scoring streak continues, but Mexico responds via Carrillo or Obi. High-scoring trend (Mexico’s last 5: 100% over 2.5 goals) supports a narrow Japan win.
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